Model card

Overview

HazardNet publishes multi-hazard outlooks for all 64 districts of Bangladesh: eight hazard classes, a severity value and a confidence score per district and forecast date, on 7- and 15-day horizons.

• Output: hazard class, severity and confidence per district and forecast date.
• Horizons: 7 and 15 days.
• Precision: district level: not a metre-scale inundation map.
• Model internals are research-private.

Intended use

Decision support for agricultural preparedness: more lead time to prepare fields, livestock and labour before a hazard window. Every figure is a planning input, not an order.

Out of scope: do not use it for this

Not an official warning. Not evacuation guidance. Not insurance or credit assessment. Not a metre-scale flood map. Not validated for any use where a wrong number causes harm on its own.

Known failure modes

Fast-onset events can outrun the forecast window. A missing run is shown as missing. Confidence scores are uncalibrated and can be high while the class is wrong: treat the two severity tracks as signals to check, not as truth.

Fairness, privacy and data protection

Coverage is uniform across the 64 districts. The site needs no account for the map and forecasts. Location, if you enable it, is used on your device and is never uploaded.

Reporting a problem with a prediction

Send the district, hazard, horizon and forecast date with what you observed on the ground, through the contact page. Ground-truth reports are how published skill metrics get built.